Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 104.482685 120.392267 139.274822 163.734192 195.190968 2.351960e+02 291.514832
2024-10-27 81.663571 100.326054 124.862644 160.794648 214.621245 2.972848e+02 446.470348
2024-11-03 73.460211 94.403358 124.061232 171.835143 253.243439 4.025815e+02 757.071158
2024-11-10 70.970045 95.095099 131.768173 196.823061 324.488837 6.159215e+02 1661.432400
2024-11-17 64.106517 87.944169 125.689490 196.658210 349.226429 7.569557e+02 2887.140342
2024-11-24 58.371921 81.552237 119.454248 194.166705 367.778646 9.051516e+02 5290.156785
2024-12-01 53.432930 75.724317 113.109784 189.684206 379.724525 1.052821e+03 10537.816459
2024-12-08 49.878969 71.696726 109.232304 189.203789 402.138374 1.284346e+03 34281.115346
2024-12-15 47.011403 68.470972 106.284370 189.956261 428.994393 1.606002e+03 702622.087621
2024-12-22 43.544476 63.879762 100.187409 182.250577 426.445887 1.766640e+03 NaN
2024-12-29 42.233707 62.881149 100.767629 190.330766 481.804347 2.567777e+03 NaN
2025-01-05 39.547688 59.215162 95.684318 183.424587 479.532262 2.870323e+03 NaN
2025-01-12 37.918864 57.561278 94.933710 188.878728 537.255349 4.564266e+03 NaN
2025-01-19 35.602504 54.494429 91.006330 185.324220 557.181193 6.248904e+03 NaN
2025-01-26 34.902152 54.321216 93.067458 199.014345 677.243117 1.776427e+04 NaN
2025-02-02 35.309705 56.265533 100.036149 230.360640 966.974095 1.129048e+07 NaN
2025-02-09 33.695408 54.110313 97.405751 230.152247 1046.858497 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 32.082796 51.822990 94.175403 227.005213 1102.144727 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 30.492286 49.461187 90.500260 221.355401 1129.259671 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 29.293568 47.804781 88.340153 220.750799 1214.554772 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 28.267339 46.424242 86.694814 221.697858 1328.783327 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 26.843555 44.134928 82.571805 212.020416 1290.844771 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 26.385522 43.815045 83.346784 222.169374 1572.577058 NaN NaN